Arizona Coyotes at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2022-11-10 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 0 - 2 Arizona Coyotes

🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 63.9%

ARI: 36.1%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.69

ARI: 2.54

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	28	26	2	92.9%	3.68	3	1.68
ARI	K. Vejmelka	24	24	0	100.0%	3.06	1	3.06

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NYI at home vs ARI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-01-04	ARI 1 - 5 NYI	NYI	ARI
2023-10-17	NYI 1 - 0 ARI	NYI	NYI
2022-12-16	ARI 5 - 4 NYI	ARI	NYI
2022-11-10	NYI 0 - 2 ARI	ARI	NYI
2022-01-21	NYI 4 - 0 ARI	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	15	1	1.49
1	ARI	11	0	0.53
2	NYI	11	0	0.40
2	ARI	14	2	1.61
3	NYI	21	0	1.17
3	ARI	13	1	1.55

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 63.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 0 - 2 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.7 - 2.5