New York Rangers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2022-11-10 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 8 New York Rangers

Win Probability

DET: 44.0%

NYR: 56.0%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.88

NYR: 3.41

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Ville Husso	33	25	8	75.8%	3.17	0	-4.83
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	20	18	2	90.0%	1.40	1	-0.60

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DET at home vs NYR: 1-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	NYR 4 - 1 DET	NYR	NYR
2025-11-16	NYR 1 - 2 DET	DET	NYR
2025-11-07	DET 1 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-11-09	DET 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-10-17	DET 2 - 5 NYR	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	9	0	0.31
1	NYR	11	0	0.75
2	DET	6	1	0.44
2	NYR	13	0	1.12
3	DET	13	0	0.66
3	NYR	20	0	1.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 8 New York Rangers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.4