San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2022-11-10 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 5 - 3 San Jose Sharks

🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 49.5%

SJS: 50.5%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.87

SJS: 4.58

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

SJS

K. Kahkonen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	30	27	3	90.0%	3.32	2	0.32
SJS	K. Kahkonen	33	28	5	84.8%	4.84	2	-0.16

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 20% • STL at home vs SJS: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-30	SJS 5 - 4 STL	SJS	STL
2026-03-26	STL 2 - 1 SJS	STL	STL
2026-03-06	SJS 2 - 3 STL	STL	SJS
2024-12-12	STL 3 - 4 SJS	SJS	STL
2024-11-21	STL 3 - 2 SJS	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	16	0	1.15
1	SJS	13	0	1.16
2	STL	25	1	2.08
2	SJS	14	1	1.13
3	STL	7	1	1.61
3	SJS	18	1	1.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 7.4

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 5 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 2.9 - 4.6