Nashville Predators at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2022-11-10 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 5 - 3 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

COL: 56.7%

NSH: 43.3%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.29

NSH: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 42%

COL

Alexandar Georgiev - 38-18-5 | 0.897 SV% | 3.02 GAA

NSH

K. Lankinen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	Alexandar Georgiev	35	32	3	91.4%	2.12	0	-0.88
NSH	K. Lankinen	35	30	5	85.7%	3.16	0	-1.84

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 52% • COL at home vs NSH: 9-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	COL 3 - 7 NSH	NSH	COL
2025-12-13	COL 4 - 2 NSH	COL	COL
2025-12-09	NSH 4 - 3 COL	NSH	COL
2025-11-22	NSH 0 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-02-22	NSH 2 - 1 COL	NSH	COL

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	COL	25	1.63
1	NSH	17	0.74
2	COL	16	1.23
2	NSH	13	0.69
3	COL	8	0.31
3	NSH	12	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 5 - 3 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1