Boston Bruins at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2022-11-12 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 1 - 3 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

BUF: 48.5%

BOS: 51.5%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.02

BOS: 3.70

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 51%

BUF

C. Anderson

BOS

K. Kinkaid

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BUF	C. Anderson	30	27	3	90.0%	3.24	0	0.24
BOS	K. Kinkaid	31	30	1	96.8%	2.83	2	1.83

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • BUF at home vs BOS: 4-9

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-01	BOS 1 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-04-28	BUF 1 - 2 BOS	BOS	BUF
2026-04-26	BOS 1 - 6 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-04-23	BOS 1 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-04-21	BUF 2 - 4 BOS	BOS	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	16	1	0.96
1	BOS	10	0	0.58
2	BUF	14	1	0.86
2	BOS	13	0	0.96
3	BUF	13	0	1.01
3	BOS	19	0	1.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 1 - 3 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.0 - 3.7