Carolina Hurricanes at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2022-11-12 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

COL: 52.6%

CAR: 47.4%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.07

CAR: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

COL

P. Francouz

CAR

A. Raanta

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	P. Francouz	25	24	1	96.0%	2.40	1	1.40
CAR	A. Raanta	28	24	4	85.7%	3.42	1	-0.58

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • COL at home vs CAR: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	CAR 3 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-10-23	COL 4 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-12-05	CAR 5 - 3 COL	CAR	CAR
2024-11-09	COL 6 - 4 CAR	COL	CAR
2024-02-08	CAR 5 - 2 COL	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	13	0	1.03
1	CAR	13	0	0.63
2	COL	12	0	1.32
2	CAR	10	0	0.73
3	COL	8	1	1.06
3	CAR	15	1	1.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1