Chicago Blackhawks at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2022-11-12 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 50.7%

CHI: 49.3%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.16

CHI: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 49%

ANA

A. Stolarz

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	A. Stolarz	22	19	3	86.4%	3.09	2	0.09
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	41	39	2	95.1%	3.47	1	1.47

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • ANA at home vs CHI: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-07	ANA 7 - 1 CHI	ANA	ANA
2025-11-30	CHI 5 - 3 ANA	CHI	ANA
2025-10-19	CHI 2 - 1 ANA	CHI	CHI
2025-03-01	ANA 3 - 6 CHI	CHI	ANA
2024-11-19	CHI 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	26	1	1.65
1	CHI	7	0	0.48
2	ANA	14	0	1.01
2	CHI	15	0	1.08
3	ANA	13	0	0.82
3	CHI	12	2	1.53

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.2 - 3.3