Detroit Red Wings at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2022-11-12 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 4 - 3 Detroit Red Wings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 59.0%
DET: 41.0%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.76
DET: 3.05
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
C. Petersen
DET
A. Nedeljkovic
| Stat | LAK | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | C. Petersen | 21 | 18 | 3 | 85.7% | 2.36 | 1 | -0.64 |
| DET | A. Nedeljkovic | 21 | 17 | 4 | 81.0% | 2.21 | 2 | -1.79 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • LAK at home vs DET: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | DET 1 - 3 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-10-30 | LAK 3 - 4 DET | DET | LAK |
| 2025-01-27 | DET 5 - 2 LAK | DET | DET |
| 2024-11-16 | LAK 4 - 1 DET | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-01-13 | DET 5 - 3 LAK | DET | LAK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAK | 17 | 0 | 0.77 |
| 1 | DET | 6 | 1 | 0.40 |
| 2 | LAK | 10 | 1 | 0.70 |
| 2 | DET | 9 | 0 | 0.68 |
| 3 | LAK | 8 | 1 | 0.73 |
| 3 | DET | 18 | 0 | 1.28 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 4 - 3 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.8 - 3.0
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