Vancouver Canucks at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2022-11-13 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 5 - 2 Vancouver Canucks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 60.6%
VAN: 39.4%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.19
VAN: 2.20
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
L. Ullmark
VAN
Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | BOS | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.905 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 2.72 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | L. Ullmark | 31 | 29 | 2 | 93.5% | 2.71 | 2 | 0.71 |
| VAN | Thatcher Demko | 33 | 28 | 5 | 84.8% | 3.24 | 3 | -1.76 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BOS at home vs VAN: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | VAN 2 - 3 BOS | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-12-20 | BOS 4 - 5 VAN | VAN | BOS |
| 2024-12-14 | VAN 1 - 5 BOS | BOS | VAN |
| 2024-11-26 | BOS 0 - 2 VAN | VAN | BOS |
| 2024-02-24 | VAN 3 - 2 BOS | VAN | VAN |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOS | 21 | 1 | 1.36 |
| 1 | VAN | 10 | 1 | 0.59 |
| 2 | BOS | 10 | 1 | 0.94 |
| 2 | VAN | 17 | 0 | 1.13 |
| 3 | BOS | 11 | 1 | 0.94 |
| 3 | VAN | 17 | 1 | 0.99 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.4
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 5 - 2 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 3.2 - 2.2
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