Philadelphia Flyers at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2022-11-15 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers (OT)

Win Probability

CBJ: 50.0%

PHI: 50.0%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.06

PHI: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

PHI

C. Hart

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	37	33	4	89.2%	2.18	0	-1.82
PHI	C. Hart	33	28	5	84.8%	2.83	1	-2.17

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CBJ at home vs PHI: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	PHI 2 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2026-03-14	PHI 1 - 2 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2026-01-28	CBJ 5 - 3 PHI	CBJ	PHI
2025-04-15	PHI 0 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	PHI
2025-01-14	CBJ 3 - 2 PHI	CBJ	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	12	0	0.66
1	PHI	9	0	0.21
2	CBJ	11	1	0.94
2	PHI	23	0	1.06
3	CBJ	14	0	1.14
3	PHI	18	0	0.85
4	CBJ	2	0	0.09
4	PHI	2	0	0.06

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0