Detroit Red Wings at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2022-11-15 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 2 Detroit Red Wings (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 46.3%

DET: 53.7%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.81

DET: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 44%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	33	31	2	93.9%	2.96	1	0.96
DET	Ville Husso	30	27	3	90.0%	3.75	1	0.75

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • ANA at home vs DET: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-13	DET 6 - 3 ANA	DET	DET
2025-10-31	ANA 5 - 2 DET	ANA	ANA
2025-02-23	DET 5 - 4 ANA	DET	DET
2024-11-15	ANA 6 - 4 DET	ANA	ANA
2024-01-07	ANA 2 - 3 DET	DET	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	16	1	1.48
1	DET	15	0	1.11
2	ANA	18	0	1.15
2	DET	13	0	0.68
3	ANA	13	0	0.82
3	DET	13	1	0.72
4	ANA	2	0	0.30
4	DET	5	0	0.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 2.8 - 3.2