St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2022-11-16 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 5 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

CHI: 45.7%

STL: 54.3%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.42

STL: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 50%

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	35	30	5	85.7%	3.44	4	-1.56
STL	Jordan Binnington	27	25	2	92.6%	2.63	1	0.63

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 74% • CHI at home vs STL: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	CHI 3 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2026-01-07	CHI 7 - 3 STL	CHI	STL
2025-12-12	STL 3 - 2 CHI	STL	STL
2025-10-15	STL 3 - 8 CHI	CHI	STL
2025-03-22	STL 4 - 1 CHI	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	10	0	0.45
1	STL	12	0	0.50
2	CHI	12	1	1.18
2	STL	21	4	2.13
3	CHI	15	0	0.99
3	STL	9	0	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 5 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0