Colorado Avalanche at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-11-17 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 3 Colorado Avalanche (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 62.0%

COL: 38.0%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.43

COL: 2.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 47%

CAR

A. Raanta

COL

P. Francouz

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Raanta	15	12	3	80.0%	1.67	0	-1.33
COL	P. Francouz	48	46	2	95.8%	4.13	0	2.13

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • CAR at home vs COL: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	CAR 3 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-10-23	COL 4 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-12-05	CAR 5 - 3 COL	CAR	CAR
2024-11-09	COL 6 - 4 CAR	COL	CAR
2024-02-08	CAR 5 - 2 COL	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	CAR	16	0.92
1	COL	5	0.40
2	CAR	27	1.66
2	COL	8	0.76
3	CAR	24	1.43
3	COL	8	0.37
4	CAR	1	0.12
4	COL	2	0.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.4 - 2.3