Anaheim Ducks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2022-11-17 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

WPG: 65.6%

ANA: 34.4%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.78

ANA: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 48%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	31	29	2	93.5%	2.56	0	0.56
ANA	John Gibson	32	29	3	90.6%	4.19	2	1.19

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • WPG at home vs ANA: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	WPG 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	WPG
2026-02-27	ANA 5 - 4 WPG	ANA	ANA
2025-11-09	ANA 4 - 1 WPG	ANA	ANA
2025-04-16	WPG 2 - 1 ANA	WPG	WPG
2025-01-02	WPG 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	12	1	1.10
1	ANA	16	0	0.86
2	WPG	20	0	1.85
2	ANA	12	0	0.87
3	WPG	12	1	1.24
3	ANA	12	0	0.83

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.8 - 3.0