New York Islanders at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2022-11-17 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 5 - 4 New York Islanders

Win Probability

NSH: 55.0%

NYI: 45.0%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.06

NYI: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	33	29	4	87.9%	3.40	1	-0.60
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	31	26	5	83.9%	2.80	1	-2.20

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • NSH at home vs NYI: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	NYI 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	NSH
2026-01-08	NSH 2 - 1 NYI	NSH	NSH
2025-04-08	NSH 7 - 6 NYI	NSH	NSH
2025-03-01	NYI 7 - 4 NSH	NYI	NSH
2024-04-06	NYI 2 - 0 NSH	NYI	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	24	1	1.30
1	NYI	8	0	0.21
2	NSH	16	0	1.17
2	NYI	18	0	0.90
3	NSH	5	0	0.32
3	NYI	25	1	2.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 5 - 4 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1