New York Rangers at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2022-11-17 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 3 - 2 New York Rangers (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 47.5%

NYR: 52.5%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.24

NYR: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

SEA

M. Jones

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	M. Jones	30	28	2	93.3%	3.36	3	1.36
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	32	29	3	90.6%	3.86	1	0.86

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • SEA at home vs NYR: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-12	NYR 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-11-01	SEA 2 - 3 NYR	NYR	SEA
2024-12-08	NYR 5 - 7 SEA	SEA	SEA
2024-11-17	SEA 0 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-01-16	NYR 5 - 2 SEA	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	11	0	0.61
1	NYR	19	0	0.99
2	SEA	28	0	2.41
2	NYR	10	1	0.94
3	SEA	12	1	0.74
3	NYR	11	2	1.30
4	SEA	2	0	0.09
4	NYR	2	0	0.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 3 - 2 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1