Los Angeles Kings at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2022-11-18 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 44.0%

LAK: 56.0%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.09

LAK: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

LAK

J. Quick

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	38	37	1	97.4%	3.64	2	2.64
LAK	J. Quick	25	21	4	84.0%	2.33	1	-1.67

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • VAN at home vs LAK: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	VAN 4 - 3 LAK	VAN	VAN
2026-04-09	LAK 4 - 1 VAN	LAK	LAK
2026-03-26	VAN 0 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-11-29	LAK 2 - 1 VAN	LAK	LAK
2025-02-26	LAK 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	12	0	0.99
1	LAK	10	0	0.50
2	VAN	12	0	0.75
2	LAK	19	0	1.11
3	VAN	10	1	0.60
3	LAK	23	2	2.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0