New Jersey Devils at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2022-11-19 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 1 - 5 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

OTT: 47.2%

NJD: 52.8%

Expected Goals

OTT: 2.86

NJD: 3.42

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

OTT

Anton Forsberg - 11-12-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

NJD

A. Schmid

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
OTT	Anton Forsberg	36	31	5	86.1%	4.86	5	-0.14
NJD	A. Schmid	26	25	1	96.2%	2.47	1	1.47

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • OTT at home vs NJD: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	NJD 4 - 3 OTT	NJD	NJD
2026-01-31	OTT 4 - 1 NJD	OTT	OTT
2025-12-09	OTT 3 - 4 NJD	NJD	OTT
2025-03-22	NJD 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-01-19	NJD 1 - 2 OTT	OTT	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	11	0	0.83
1	NJD	18	1	1.47
2	OTT	15	1	1.00
2	NJD	18	2	1.53
3	OTT	13	0	0.64
3	NJD	13	2	1.87

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 1 - 5 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.9 - 3.4