Chicago Blackhawks at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2022-11-19 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 6 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

BOS: 71.4%

CHI: 28.6%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.21

CHI: 2.25

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 45%

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	18	17	1	94.4%	1.15	0	0.15
CHI	Petr Mrazek	43	37	6	86.0%	5.27	2	-0.73

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • BOS at home vs CHI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	CHI 2 - 5 BOS	BOS	BOS
2025-10-09	BOS 4 - 3 CHI	BOS	BOS
2025-04-10	BOS 2 - 5 CHI	CHI	BOS
2024-12-04	CHI 2 - 4 BOS	BOS	CHI
2023-10-24	CHI 0 - 3 BOS	BOS	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	24	2	1.92
1	CHI	5	0	0.10
2	BOS	25	0	2.76
2	CHI	7	0	0.47
3	BOS	14	0	0.60
3	CHI	11	0	0.58

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 6 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.2 - 2.3