Carolina Hurricanes at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-11-19 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 2 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes (OT)

Win Probability

MIN: 64.7%

CAR: 35.3%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.16

CAR: 2.44

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	21	20	1	95.2%	1.57	0	0.57
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	21	19	2	90.5%	1.82	0	-0.18

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MIN at home vs CAR: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-19	MIN 4 - 3 CAR	MIN	CAR
2025-11-06	CAR 4 - 3 MIN	CAR	CAR
2025-02-06	MIN 2 - 1 CAR	MIN	MIN
2025-01-04	CAR 0 - 4 MIN	MIN	CAR
2024-02-27	MIN 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	MIN	8	0.15
1	CAR	19	0.81
2	MIN	12	0.93
2	CAR	15	0.61
3	MIN	12	0.49
3	CAR	4	0.06
4	MIN	2	0.25
4	CAR	1	0.08

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 2 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.2 - 2.4