Tampa Bay Lightning at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2022-11-19 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 2 - 3 Tampa Bay Lightning (OT)

Win Probability

NSH: 49.8%

TBL: 50.2%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.23

TBL: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

TBL

Andrei Vasilevskiy - 15-7-2 | 0.913 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	39	36	3	92.3%	4.46	1	1.46
TBL	Andrei Vasilevskiy	32	30	2	93.8%	2.23	1	0.23

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • NSH at home vs TBL: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-29	TBL 3 - 2 NSH	TBL	TBL
2025-10-28	NSH 2 - 5 TBL	TBL	TBL
2024-11-29	NSH 2 - 3 TBL	TBL	TBL
2024-10-28	TBL 3 - 2 NSH	TBL	TBL
2023-12-07	NSH 5 - 1 TBL	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	13	0	0.68
1	TBL	22	0	1.82
2	NSH	12	1	0.88
2	TBL	13	0	0.84
3	NSH	12	0	0.63
3	TBL	12	1	1.59
4	NSH	1	0	0.05
4	TBL	3	0	0.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 2 - 3 Tampa Bay Lightning

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0