Florida Panthers at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2022-11-20 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 3 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 49.7%

FLA: 50.3%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.05

FLA: 3.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 51%

CBJ

Daniil Tarasov - 8-11-3 | 0.908 SV% | 3.18 GAA

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Daniil Tarasov	50	47	3	94.0%	3.62	1	0.62
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	23	18	5	78.3%	1.70	1	-3.30

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • CBJ at home vs FLA: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	FLA 2 - 1 CBJ	FLA	FLA
2026-03-05	CBJ 4 - 2 FLA	CBJ	FLA
2025-12-06	FLA 7 - 6 CBJ	FLA	FLA
2025-03-20	CBJ 0 - 1 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-03-06	FLA 3 - 0 CBJ	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	8	0	0.30
1	FLA	24	0	1.24
2	CBJ	15	1	0.82
2	FLA	21	1	1.03
3	CBJ	11	0	0.58
3	FLA	22	0	1.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.9