Pittsburgh Penguins at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2022-11-20 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 5 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

CHI: 47.4%

PIT: 52.6%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.63

PIT: 3.60

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

PIT

C. DeSmith

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	25	20	5	80.0%	3.28	1	-1.72
PIT	C. DeSmith	32	29	3	90.6%	2.93	2	-0.07

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • CHI at home vs PIT: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	PIT 6 - 2 CHI	PIT	PIT
2025-12-28	CHI 3 - 7 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-04-08	PIT 5 - 0 CHI	PIT	PIT
2025-04-06	CHI 3 - 1 PIT	CHI	CHI
2024-02-15	CHI 1 - 4 PIT	PIT	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	17	1	1.09
1	PIT	10	0	0.67
2	CHI	12	1	0.79
2	PIT	11	0	0.68
3	CHI	15	0	1.06
3	PIT	13	1	1.92

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 5 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 2.6 - 3.6