Edmonton Oilers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2022-11-21 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 5 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

NJD: 59.7%

EDM: 40.3%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.38

EDM: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 7.0

Over 5.5: 72%

Over 6.5: 57%

NJD

V. Vanecek

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	V. Vanecek	30	28	2	93.3%	2.70	3	0.70
EDM	Stuart Skinner	28	23	5	82.1%	3.21	2	-1.79

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NJD at home vs EDM: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-20	EDM 1 - 2 NJD	NJD	EDM
2025-10-18	NJD 5 - 3 EDM	NJD	EDM
2025-03-13	NJD 3 - 2 EDM	NJD	EDM
2024-11-04	EDM 0 - 3 NJD	NJD	NJD
2023-12-21	NJD 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	13	1	1.15
1	EDM	18	2	1.23
2	NJD	21	1	1.23
2	EDM	11	1	0.62
3	NJD	14	0	0.84
3	EDM	13	0	0.86

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 5 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.4 - 3.2