Carolina Hurricanes at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2022-11-21 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes (OT)

Win Probability

WPG: 54.0%

CAR: 46.0%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.35

CAR: 3.31

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 49%

WPG

D. Rittich

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	D. Rittich	27	24	3	88.9%	2.90	1	-0.10
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	23	19	4	82.6%	3.35	1	-0.65

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • WPG at home vs CAR: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-28	CAR 5 - 1 WPG	CAR	CAR
2025-11-21	WPG 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-09	CAR 4 - 2 WPG	CAR	CAR
2025-02-04	WPG 3 - 0 CAR	WPG	CAR
2024-03-02	CAR 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	13	0	0.93
1	CAR	17	0	0.80
2	WPG	12	1	1.51
2	CAR	16	0	0.87
3	WPG	6	0	0.55
3	CAR	19	1	1.06
4	WPG	3	0	0.36
4	CAR	3	0	0.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.3 - 3.3