Arizona Coyotes at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2022-11-21 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 4 - 3 Arizona Coyotes (SO)

Win Probability

NSH: 61.1%

ARI: 38.9%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.74

ARI: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 46%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

ARI

C. Ingram - 24-24-0 | 0.907 SV% | 3.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	34	28	6	82.4%	5.29	4	-0.71
ARI	C. Ingram	52	45	7	86.5%	8.45	4	1.45

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • NSH at home vs ARI: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-28	ARI 8 - 4 NSH	ARI	NSH
2024-02-10	NSH 5 - 4 ARI	NSH	NSH
2024-01-20	ARI 3 - 2 NSH	ARI	NSH
2023-11-11	NSH 5 - 7 ARI	ARI	NSH
2023-03-09	ARI 4 - 1 NSH	ARI	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	16	0	1.44
1	ARI	15	0	0.70
2	NSH	20	0	1.32
2	ARI	9	0	0.68
3	NSH	15	0	1.17
3	ARI	12	1	0.82
4	NSH	10	0	0.73
4	ARI	1	0	0.03
5	NSH	7	4	3.80
5	ARI	7	3	3.06

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 4 - 3 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.7 - 2.9