Winnipeg Jets at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-11-23 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 6 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

MIN: 63.4%

WPG: 36.6%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.45

WPG: 2.63

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	29	28	1	96.6%	2.27	1	1.27
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	39	33	6	84.6%	3.13	2	-2.87

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • MIN at home vs WPG: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	MIN 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	MIN
2025-12-27	WPG 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	WPG
2025-11-23	WPG 0 - 3 MIN	MIN	WPG
2025-10-28	MIN 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	MIN
2024-12-21	WPG 5 - 0 MIN	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	20	0	1.36
1	WPG	8	0	0.42
2	MIN	16	0	0.68
2	WPG	15	0	0.86
3	MIN	11	2	1.09
3	WPG	15	1	0.98

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 6 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.5 - 2.6