Nashville Predators at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2022-11-23 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 3 - 0 Nashville Predators
🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 44.2%
NSH: 55.8%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.26
NSH: 3.26
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA
NSH
K. Lankinen
| Stat | DET | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.892 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.55 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | Ville Husso | 26 | 26 | 0 | 100.0% | 3.01 | 1 | 3.01 |
| NSH | K. Lankinen | 29 | 26 | 3 | 89.7% | 2.63 | 1 | -0.37 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • DET at home vs NSH: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-02 | NSH 2 - 4 DET | DET | NSH |
| 2025-11-26 | DET 3 - 6 NSH | NSH | DET |
| 2024-10-19 | NSH 2 - 5 DET | DET | NSH |
| 2024-10-12 | DET 3 - 0 NSH | DET | NSH |
| 2024-03-23 | NSH 1 - 0 DET | NSH | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DET | 8 | 0 | 0.19 |
| 1 | NSH | 13 | 0 | 0.86 |
| 2 | DET | 13 | 0 | 0.83 |
| 2 | NSH | 17 | 0 | 1.28 |
| 3 | DET | 18 | 1 | 1.61 |
| 3 | NSH | 11 | 1 | 0.87 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 3 - 0 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.3 - 3.3
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