Chicago Blackhawks at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2022-11-23 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 6 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

DAL: 63.7%

CHI: 36.3%

Expected Goals

DAL: 4.29

CHI: 2.80

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DAL	Jake Oettinger	31	27	4	87.1%	2.91	1	-1.09
CHI	Petr Mrazek	39	33	6	84.6%	5.24	4	-0.76

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DAL at home vs CHI: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-08	DAL 4 - 3 CHI	DAL	DAL
2026-01-01	CHI 4 - 3 DAL	CHI	CHI
2025-12-27	DAL 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	DAL
2024-12-29	CHI 1 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-11-27	CHI 6 - 2 DAL	CHI	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	8	1	0.78
1	CHI	14	0	0.64
2	DAL	15	0	1.04
2	CHI	19	1	1.87
3	DAL	28	3	3.42
3	CHI	8	0	0.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 6 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 4.3 - 2.8