New York Rangers at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2022-11-23 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 3 - 2 New York Rangers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 50.2%
NYR: 49.8%
Expected Goals
ANA: 2.84
NYR: 3.75
Total Goals
Median: 6.9
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 53%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA
NYR
J. Halak
| Stat | ANA | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.54 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | John Gibson | 43 | 41 | 2 | 95.3% | 4.52 | 3 | 2.52 |
| NYR | J. Halak | 22 | 19 | 3 | 86.4% | 3.04 | 2 | 0.04 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • ANA at home vs NYR: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | ANA 5 - 3 NYR | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-12-15 | NYR 1 - 4 ANA | ANA | NYR |
| 2025-03-28 | ANA 5 - 4 NYR | ANA | NYR |
| 2024-10-26 | NYR 2 - 1 ANA | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-01-21 | ANA 2 - 5 NYR | NYR | NYR |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ANA | 13 | 1 | 1.11 |
| 1 | NYR | 22 | 1 | 1.63 |
| 2 | ANA | 16 | 0 | 1.31 |
| 2 | NYR | 15 | 1 | 1.24 |
| 3 | ANA | 7 | 1 | 0.62 |
| 3 | NYR | 23 | 1 | 1.65 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 3 - 2 New York Rangers
Expected: 2.8 - 3.7
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