San Jose Sharks at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2022-11-23 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 8 - 5 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 55.6%
SJS: 44.4%
Expected Goals
SEA: 2.85
SJS: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
M. Jones
SJS
K. Kahkonen
| Stat | SEA | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | M. Jones | 26 | 21 | 5 | 80.8% | 2.37 | 1 | -2.63 |
| SJS | K. Kahkonen | 27 | 19 | 8 | 70.4% | 3.63 | 4 | -4.37 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • SEA at home vs SJS: 6-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | SJS 2 - 4 SEA | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-11-15 | SEA 4 - 1 SJS | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-11-05 | SEA 1 - 6 SJS | SJS | SEA |
| 2025-04-05 | SJS 1 - 5 SEA | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-01-30 | SEA 6 - 2 SJS | SEA | SEA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | 11 | 0 | 0.59 |
| 1 | SJS | 14 | 0 | 0.79 |
| 2 | SEA | 13 | 1 | 1.10 |
| 2 | SJS | 10 | 1 | 1.16 |
| 3 | SEA | 12 | 3 | 1.94 |
| 3 | SJS | 15 | 0 | 0.42 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 13.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 8 - 5 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 2.8 - 2.9
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