Carolina Hurricanes at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2022-11-25 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 3 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes (OT)

Win Probability

BOS: 62.5%

CAR: 37.5%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.13

CAR: 2.59

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 47%

BOS

L. Ullmark

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	L. Ullmark	36	34	2	94.4%	2.22	1	0.22
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	41	38	3	92.7%	3.94	1	0.94

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • BOS at home vs CAR: 6-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	CAR 6 - 5 BOS	CAR	CAR
2025-11-17	BOS 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-01	BOS 2 - 1 CAR	BOS	CAR
2025-04-05	BOS 5 - 1 CAR	BOS	BOS
2025-03-06	CAR 3 - 2 BOS	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	11	1	0.83
1	CAR	21	1	1.01
2	BOS	16	0	1.30
2	CAR	8	0	0.20
3	BOS	21	0	1.59
3	CAR	13	0	0.69
4	BOS	3	0	0.23
4	CAR	3	0	0.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 3 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.1 - 2.6