Ottawa Senators at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2022-11-25 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 5 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

ANA: 34.7%

OTT: 65.3%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.04

OTT: 3.29

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

ANA

A. Stolarz

OTT

C. Talbot

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	A. Stolarz	33	28	5	84.8%	3.83	2	-1.17
OTT	C. Talbot	32	31	1	96.9%	4.11	4	3.11

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • ANA at home vs OTT: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	OTT 2 - 0 ANA	OTT	OTT
2025-11-20	ANA 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-12-11	OTT 5 - 1 ANA	OTT	OTT
2024-12-01	ANA 4 - 3 OTT	ANA	OTT
2024-03-06	ANA 2 - 1 OTT	ANA	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	17	1	1.32
1	OTT	12	0	0.71
2	ANA	10	1	0.67
2	OTT	25	1	1.99
3	ANA	16	2	2.12
3	OTT	13	1	1.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 5 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3