New York Islanders at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2022-11-25 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 3 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 50.2%

NYI: 49.8%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.08

NYI: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

CBJ

J. Korpisalo

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	J. Korpisalo	24	21	3	87.5%	2.84	1	-0.16
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	26	24	2	92.3%	3.30	2	1.30

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • CBJ at home vs NYI: 5-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	NYI 1 - 0 CBJ	NYI	NYI
2026-02-28	CBJ 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	CBJ
2025-12-28	CBJ 4 - 2 NYI	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-02	NYI 3 - 2 CBJ	NYI	NYI
2025-04-17	CBJ 6 - 1 NYI	CBJ	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	9	1	0.58
1	NYI	11	0	0.88
2	CBJ	14	0	1.36
2	NYI	15	0	0.96
3	CBJ	16	1	1.36
3	NYI	13	1	1.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 3 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2