New Jersey Devils at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2022-11-25 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 1 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

BUF: 37.5%

NJD: 62.5%

Expected Goals

BUF: 2.65

NJD: 3.38

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 53%

BUF

C. Anderson

NJD

A. Schmid

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BUF	C. Anderson	44	41	3	93.2%	3.74	4	0.74
NJD	A. Schmid	34	33	1	97.1%	3.14	0	2.14

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • BUF at home vs NJD: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	NJD 1 - 2 BUF	BUF	NJD
2025-12-21	NJD 1 - 3 BUF	BUF	NJD
2025-11-28	BUF 0 - 5 NJD	NJD	BUF
2025-02-02	BUF 4 - 3 NJD	BUF	NJD
2024-10-05	NJD 3 - 1 BUF	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	9	0	0.82
1	NJD	21	1	1.00
2	BUF	17	0	1.16
2	NJD	22	1	1.35
3	BUF	17	0	1.16
3	NJD	13	2	1.39

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 1 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.7 - 3.4