Edmonton Oilers at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2022-11-26 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 52.7%

EDM: 47.3%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.68

EDM: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.9

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 55%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

EDM

Jack Campbell - 1-4-0 | 0.873 SV% | 4.50 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	32	28	4	87.5%	3.25	1	-0.75
EDM	Jack Campbell	23	20	3	87.0%	2.17	4	-0.83

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYR at home vs EDM: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-30	EDM 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	EDM
2025-10-14	NYR 0 - 2 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-03-16	NYR 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-11-23	EDM 6 - 2 NYR	EDM	EDM
2023-12-22	NYR 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	11	2	0.84
1	EDM	18	0	0.89
2	NYR	10	2	1.09
2	EDM	25	1	1.64
3	NYR	6	0	0.24
3	EDM	12	0	0.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.7 - 3.2