Calgary Flames at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-11-26 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

CAR: 62.3%

CGY: 37.7%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.79

CGY: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 48%

CAR

A. Raanta

CGY

Dan Vladar - 12-11-6 | 0.898 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Raanta	20	18	2	90.0%	2.06	1	0.06
CGY	Dan Vladar	33	30	3	90.9%	4.02	4	1.02

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 90% • CAR at home vs CGY: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	CGY 5 - 4 CAR	CGY	CGY
2025-11-30	CAR 1 - 0 CGY	CAR	CAR
2025-03-02	CAR 2 - 1 CGY	CAR	CAR
2024-10-24	CGY 2 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-03-10	CAR 7 - 2 CGY	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	23	1	1.48
1	CGY	11	1	0.77
2	CAR	15	0	0.95
2	CGY	12	0	0.71
3	CAR	15	3	1.59
3	CGY	12	0	0.59

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.8 - 2.9