St. Louis Blues at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2022-11-26 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 4 - 5 St. Louis Blues (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (70% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 69.9%

STL: 30.1%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.58

STL: 2.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 49%

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

STL

T. Greiss

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Spencer Knight	37	32	5	86.5%	3.23	2	-1.77
STL	T. Greiss	37	33	4	89.2%	2.81	2	-1.19

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • FLA at home vs STL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	STL 5 - 4 FLA	STL	STL
2025-12-20	FLA 2 - 6 STL	STL	FLA
2025-02-06	STL 2 - 3 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-12-20	FLA 2 - 1 STL	FLA	FLA
2024-01-09	STL 1 - 5 FLA	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	19	1	1.42
1	STL	11	2	1.40
2	FLA	21	1	1.17
2	STL	9	0	0.65
3	FLA	5	0	0.22
3	STL	20	0	1.06
4	FLA	0	0	0.00
4	STL	1	0	0.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 69.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 4 - 5 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.6 - 2.1