Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2022-11-26 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 5 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

NYI: 54.8%

PHI: 45.2%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.66

PHI: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 45%

NYI

Semyon Varlamov - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

PHI

F. Sandstrom

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Semyon Varlamov	28	26	2	92.9%	2.22	1	0.22
PHI	F. Sandstrom	23	18	5	78.3%	2.30	0	-2.70

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • NYI at home vs PHI: 6-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-03	NYI 1 - 4 PHI	PHI	NYI
2026-01-26	PHI 0 - 4 NYI	NYI	PHI
2025-11-28	NYI 3 - 4 PHI	PHI	NYI
2025-10-25	PHI 4 - 3 NYI	PHI	PHI
2025-04-12	PHI 4 - 3 NYI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	10	0	0.43
1	PHI	9	1	0.48
2	NYI	14	0	0.84
2	PHI	19	0	0.77
3	NYI	11	0	1.03
3	PHI	15	0	0.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 5 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 2.7 - 3.0