Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2022-11-27 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 7 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

CHI: 42.8%

WPG: 57.2%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.42

WPG: 3.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 47%

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Petr Mrazek	44	37	7	84.1%	2.36	0	-4.64
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	25	23	2	92.0%	2.33	1	0.33

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • CHI at home vs WPG: 2-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	CHI 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG
2026-03-03	WPG 3 - 2 CHI	WPG	WPG
2026-01-19	CHI 2 - 0 WPG	CHI	WPG
2025-10-30	WPG 6 - 3 CHI	WPG	WPG
2025-04-12	CHI 4 - 5 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	8	0	0.33
1	WPG	19	0	0.96
2	CHI	17	1	1.35
2	WPG	14	0	0.83
3	CHI	14	0	0.65
3	WPG	15	0	0.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 7 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 2.4 - 3.9