Ottawa Senators at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2022-11-27 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 55.0%

OTT: 45.0%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.51

OTT: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

LAK

J. Quick

OTT

C. Talbot

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	J. Quick	39	36	3	92.3%	3.81	5	0.81
OTT	C. Talbot	27	25	2	92.6%	2.95	0	0.95

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs OTT: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-24	LAK 2 - 1 OTT	LAK	LAK
2025-11-15	OTT 0 - 1 LAK	LAK	OTT
2024-11-30	LAK 5 - 2 OTT	LAK	LAK
2024-10-14	OTT 8 - 7 LAK	OTT	OTT
2024-03-07	LAK 4 - 3 OTT	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	11	0	0.64
1	OTT	23	1	1.52
2	LAK	17	0	1.19
2	OTT	12	4	1.65
3	LAK	14	0	1.12
3	OTT	15	0	0.46
4	LAK	0	0	0.00
4	OTT	1	0	0.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.5 - 3.1