Vegas Golden Knights at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2022-11-28 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights (SO)

Win Probability

CBJ: 41.8%

VGK: 58.2%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.08

VGK: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

CBJ

Daniil Tarasov - 8-11-3 | 0.908 SV% | 3.18 GAA

VGK

L. Thompson

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Daniil Tarasov	39	35	4	89.7%	6.28	5	2.28
VGK	L. Thompson	33	30	3	90.9%	3.94	3	0.94

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • CBJ at home vs VGK: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	VGK 5 - 3 CBJ	VGK	VGK
2025-12-13	CBJ 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-03-13	CBJ 0 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-01-30	VGK 1 - 2 CBJ	CBJ	VGK
2024-03-23	VGK 4 - 2 CBJ	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	11	1	0.80
1	VGK	12	2	1.24
2	CBJ	18	0	1.01
2	VGK	24	0	1.63
3	CBJ	11	1	0.83
3	VGK	13	0	0.48
4	CBJ	1	0	0.13
4	VGK	4	1	0.78
5	CBJ	7	1	1.16
5	VGK	6	2	2.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2