New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2022-11-29 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 1 New York Islanders

Win Probability

PHI: 51.7%

NYI: 48.3%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.04

NYI: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

PHI

C. Hart

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	C. Hart	24	23	1	95.8%	2.15	1	1.15
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	33	30	3	90.9%	3.05	2	0.05

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • PHI at home vs NYI: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-03	NYI 1 - 4 PHI	PHI	NYI
2026-01-26	PHI 0 - 4 NYI	NYI	PHI
2025-11-28	NYI 3 - 4 PHI	PHI	NYI
2025-10-25	PHI 4 - 3 NYI	PHI	PHI
2025-04-12	PHI 4 - 3 NYI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	16	1	0.94
1	NYI	10	0	0.62
2	PHI	11	0	0.74
2	NYI	13	0	0.75
3	PHI	15	1	1.37
3	NYI	11	1	0.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 1 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1