Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2022-11-29 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 0 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

WPG: 51.9%

COL: 48.1%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.00

COL: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

COL

Alexandar Georgiev - 38-18-5 | 0.897 SV% | 3.02 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	40	40	0	100.0%	3.28	3	3.28
COL	Alexandar Georgiev	23	18	5	78.3%	2.41	1	-2.59

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • WPG at home vs COL: 7-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	COL 2 - 4 WPG	WPG	COL
2026-03-26	WPG 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-03-14	WPG 3 - 1 COL	WPG	COL
2025-12-19	COL 3 - 2 WPG	COL	COL
2025-01-22	COL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	7	0	0.41
1	COL	11	1	0.66
2	WPG	13	0	0.76
2	COL	18	1	1.60
3	WPG	14	1	1.24
3	COL	17	1	1.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 0 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2