Florida Panthers at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2022-11-29 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 6 - 2 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

CGY: 61.1%

FLA: 38.9%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.20

FLA: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

CGY

Dan Vladar - 12-11-6 | 0.898 SV% | 2.80 GAA

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	Dan Vladar	33	31	2	93.9%	2.37	0	0.37
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	23	17	6	73.9%	2.58	1	-3.42

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CGY at home vs FLA: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-20	CGY 4 - 1 FLA	CGY	CGY
2025-11-28	FLA 3 - 5 CGY	CGY	FLA
2025-03-01	FLA 3 - 0 CGY	FLA	FLA
2024-12-14	CGY 3 - 0 FLA	CGY	FLA
2024-03-09	FLA 5 - 1 CGY	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	15	0	0.80
1	FLA	10	0	0.54
2	CGY	12	0	0.75
2	FLA	16	0	0.90
3	CGY	13	1	1.04
3	FLA	16	0	0.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 6 - 2 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2