Washington Capitals at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2022-11-29 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 5 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

VAN: 43.9%

WSH: 56.1%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.13

WSH: 3.31

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 47%

VAN

S. Martin

WSH

D. Kuemper

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	S. Martin	28	23	5	82.1%	4.00	4	-1.00
WSH	D. Kuemper	32	31	1	96.9%	2.08	1	1.08

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 30% • VAN at home vs WSH: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-21	VAN 4 - 3 WSH	VAN	WSH
2025-10-19	WSH 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	WSH
2025-01-25	VAN 2 - 1 WSH	VAN	VAN
2025-01-08	WSH 2 - 1 VAN	WSH	VAN
2024-03-16	VAN 1 - 2 WSH	WSH	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	14	0	0.69
1	WSH	18	2	1.35
2	VAN	16	0	0.66
2	WSH	8	0	0.56
3	VAN	13	1	0.73
3	WSH	12	2	2.08

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 5 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3