New York Rangers at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2022-11-30 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 1 - 3 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

OTT: 58.1%

NYR: 41.9%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.07

NYR: 2.72

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 53%

OTT

C. Talbot

NYR

J. Halak

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
OTT	C. Talbot	36	33	3	91.7%	3.71	2	0.71
NYR	J. Halak	35	34	1	97.1%	3.26	1	2.26

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • OTT at home vs NYR: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-23	NYR 1 - 2 OTT	OTT	OTT
2026-01-14	NYR 4 - 8 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-12-04	OTT 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	OTT
2025-03-08	OTT 4 - 3 NYR	OTT	OTT
2025-01-21	NYR 5 - 0 OTT	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	19	1	1.10
1	NYR	10	0	0.28
2	OTT	15	0	1.19
2	NYR	19	0	1.42
3	OTT	14	0	0.98
3	NYR	24	2	2.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 1 - 3 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.1 - 2.7