Nashville Predators at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2022-12-01 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 4 Nashville Predators (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 60.3%

NSH: 39.7%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.74

NSH: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 52%

NJD

V. Vanecek

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	V. Vanecek	24	20	4	83.3%	2.00	1	-2.00
NSH	Juuse Saros	28	25	3	89.3%	2.85	3	-0.15

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 30% • NJD at home vs NSH: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	NSH 2 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-01-29	NJD 3 - 2 NSH	NJD	NSH
2025-02-23	NSH 0 - 5 NJD	NJD	NSH
2024-11-25	NJD 5 - 2 NSH	NJD	NJD
2024-04-07	NJD 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	13	0	0.71
1	NSH	12	1	0.53
2	NJD	16	1	1.03
2	NSH	14	0	0.62
3	NJD	9	2	1.10
3	NSH	8	0	0.68
4	NJD	0	0	0.00
4	NSH	1	0	0.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 4 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.7 - 3.2