Carolina Hurricanes at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2022-12-01 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 4 - 6 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 56.3%

CAR: 43.7%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.90

CAR: 2.69

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 50%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

CAR

A. Raanta

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	36	30	6	83.3%	4.37	4	-1.63
CAR	A. Raanta	26	22	4	84.6%	2.01	0	-1.99

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • STL at home vs CAR: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	CAR 1 - 3 STL	STL	CAR
2026-01-13	STL 3 - 0 CAR	STL	CAR
2024-11-17	CAR 4 - 1 STL	CAR	CAR
2024-10-19	STL 4 - 3 CAR	STL	CAR
2024-04-12	STL 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	10	0	0.69
1	CAR	13	1	0.96
2	STL	10	0	0.55
2	CAR	23	1	1.59
3	STL	12	0	0.77
3	CAR	11	2	1.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 4 - 6 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.9 - 2.7