Anaheim Ducks at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2022-12-01 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 5 - 0 Anaheim Ducks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 57.9%
ANA: 42.1%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.51
ANA: 2.99
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA
ANA
A. Stolarz
| Stat | DAL | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.57 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | Jake Oettinger | 31 | 31 | 0 | 100.0% | 3.00 | 4 | 3.00 |
| ANA | A. Stolarz | 41 | 36 | 5 | 87.8% | 3.93 | 1 | -1.07 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • DAL at home vs ANA: 5-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 | ANA 3 - 1 DAL | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-12-19 | ANA 3 - 8 DAL | DAL | ANA |
| 2025-11-06 | DAL 5 - 7 ANA | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-03-18 | DAL 4 - 3 ANA | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-02-04 | ANA 2 - 1 DAL | ANA | DAL |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DAL | 12 | 0 | 0.86 |
| 1 | ANA | 15 | 1 | 0.99 |
| 2 | DAL | 21 | 1 | 1.55 |
| 2 | ANA | 13 | 1 | 1.22 |
| 3 | DAL | 20 | 0 | 1.52 |
| 3 | ANA | 11 | 2 | 0.79 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 5 - 0 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.5 - 3.0
Get NHL forecasts in your inbox
Occasional emails with NHL forecasts, analysis, and model updates.